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These two provinces are largely inhabited by minority ethnic groups and have more lenient family planning laws.[xxxvii] Between 19 there was an increase in excess males at birth in all provinces except Xinjiang.[xxxviii] The total sex ratio at birth is over 10 in three provinces (Shaanxi, Anhui, and Jiangxi) and over 10 in 14 provinces.[xxxix] As an example, in 2007, Lianyungang city had a gender ratio of 10 for children under 5.[xl] Another city, Suining city, had a birth ratio of 10 in 2007.[xli] There is a gradient between urban (10), town (10), and rural (10) sex ratios at birth.[xlii] Wealthier and more educated provinces, where traditional preference for sons is changing, produced medium sex ratios.
The sex ratio of children born after this first daughter changes based on the policy being enforced, with the mothers in the one child area being 3 percentage points more likely to have a son.[x] China alone stands to have as many unmarried young men—“bare branches”, as they are known—as the entire population of young men in America.He projected that doing so would decrease the number of missing girls by 67%.Another solution he put forward was to implement a three child policy, which he says would reduce the number of missing girls by 56%.[xlv] Sex Ratios for 2 Children in China The sex ratio at birth for first children is slightly high in cities and towns but was within normal limits in rural areas; however, the ratio rose very steeply for second or more children in cities (10), towns (10), and rural areas (10).[xlvi] There were very high sex ratios for second children in Anhui (10) and Jiangsu (10).[xlvii] The ratio for second and higher births in Beijing is 149 and the ratio for second and higher births in Shanghai is 175.[xlviii] For third births, the sex ratio rose to over 20 in four provinces.[xlix] In Beijing, among third children, almost three baby boys are born for every baby girl (almost 30).[l] The sex ratio increased steadily from 10 for those born between 19 to 10 for those born between 20.[li] In rural areas, sex ratios rose steeply for second order births, where it reached 10.According to Nicholas Eberstadt, the enormous and growing inequality problem that already exists in China is furthered by the increasing frustration and anger by those who are left behind — those are disproportionately the unmarriageable.[lxviii] The tensions associated with so many bachelors in China's big cities might tempt its future leaders to mobilize this excess manpower and go pick a fight, or invade another country.China is already co-opting poor unmarried young men into the People's Liberation Army and the paramilitary People's Armed Police.[lxix] According to German scholar Gunnar Heinsohn, European imperial expansion after 1500 was the result of a male “youth bulge.” Japan’s imperial expansion after 1914 was the result of a similar male youth bulge.
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